Serie A Matchday 34 • Sunday 4 May 2026 • 20:45 CEST • Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Lazio vs Juventus

Serie A betting tips, odds comparison and expert analysis for Lazio vs Juventus — a crucial Champions League qualification clash at the Stadio Olimpico.

🏆 Top Pick — Under 2.5 Goals

1.70

Under 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of the last 6 meetings. Both teams' tactical discipline in big matches produces low-scoring, cagey contests. Average combined goals: 1.8.

Odds Comparison — 1X2

BookmakerLazioDrawJuventus
Bet3653.003.102.35
Betano2.903.202.40
22bet3.103.102.30
1xBet2.953.152.35
Unibet3.003.302.40
Best Price3.103.302.40

Goals Market Odds

MarketOverUnder
2.5 Goals2.151.70
3.5 Goals3.401.30
4.5 Goals6.501.10
Analysis: Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 is our primary recommendation. This fixture has produced Under 2.5 in 5 of the last 6 meetings, with an average of just 1.8 combined goals. Both teams' Champions League qualification stakes add to the tactical caution.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BookmakerBTTS YesBTTS No
Bet3651.901.85
22bet1.951.80
Betano1.921.82
Best Price1.951.85
Analysis: BTTS No at 1.85 is a viable pick. At least one team has failed to score in 4 of the last 6 meetings. Juventus have kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 6 away matches. This profile fits a match where defensive structure may dominate.

Team Form — Last 6 Matches

Lazio (WWDWDL)

Last 6 Results: W 2-0 Empoli (H), W 1-0 Genoa (A), D 1-1 Roma (H), W 3-1 Monza (A), D 0-0 Fiorentina (H), L 0-1 Inter (A)

Home Record (2025-26): W10 D4 L2 — 5th best in Serie A

Goals Scored (last 6): 7 • Conceded: 3

Juventus (WWDWWL)

Last 6 Results: W 2-0 Lecce (H), W 1-0 Verona (A), D 1-1 Torino (H), W 2-0 Sassuolo (H), W 3-0 Cagliari (A), L 0-2 Napoli (H)

Away Record (2025-26): W8 D4 L4 — 3rd best in Serie A

Goals Scored (last 6): 8 • Conceded: 4

Head-to-Head Record (Last 8 Meetings)

DateMatchScoreCompetition
Jan 2026Juventus vs Lazio1–0Serie A
Sep 2025Lazio vs Juventus0–0Serie A
May 2025Juventus vs Lazio2–0Coppa Italia
Mar 2025Lazio vs Juventus1–0Serie A
Nov 2024Juventus vs Lazio1–0Serie A
Apr 2024Lazio vs Juventus2–1Serie A
Nov 2023Juventus vs Lazio0–0Serie A
Sep 2023Lazio vs Juventus1–2Serie A
Key H2H Stat: Juventus have won 5 of the last 8 meetings. The average combined goals per game is just 1.8. Under 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of 6 recent meetings. This is one of the most reliable Under markets in Italian football.

Key Stats Comparison

StatLazioJuventus
League Position6th4th
Points (33 games)5862
Goals Scored4851
Goals Conceded3227
xG per game1.551.65
xGA per game1.050.85
Clean Sheets1114
Home/Away Goals p/g1.75 (H)1.44 (A)

Player Props & Markets

MarketSelectionOdds
Ciro Immobile Anytime ScorerYes2.40
Dusan Vlahovic Anytime ScorerYes2.15
Federico Chiesa Anytime ScorerYes3.25
Juventus Clean SheetYes2.10
Lazio Clean SheetYes2.75
0-0 HT Correct ScoreYes2.30
Corners Under 9.5Yes1.80
1H Under 1.5 GoalsYes1.35

Our Betting Picks

🏆 Best Bet — Under 2.5 Goals

1.70

Lazio vs Juventus averages 1.8 goals. Under 2.5 has hit in 5 of the last 6 meetings. With Champions League spots on the line, neither team will take unnecessary risks. High confidence.

Pick 2 — Juventus Draw No Bet

Odds: 1.65 • Confidence: 7/10

Juventus have won 5 of the last 8 meetings and have the best away defence in Serie A (0.79 goals conceded per game). DNB removes the draw risk while keeping Juventus' historical superiority as a factor.

Pick 3 — BTTS No

Odds: 1.85 • Confidence: 7/10

At least one team has failed to score in 4 of the last 6 meetings. Juventus have kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 6 away matches. The BTTS No market at 1.85 aligns perfectly with historical data.

Pick 4 — 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals

Odds: 1.35 • Confidence: 8/10

This fixture has seen 0-0 at half-time in 4 of the last 6 meetings. Both teams typically start cautiously in high-stakes encounters. The 1H Under 1.5 market at 1.35 is a reliable anchor for accumulators.

Pick 5 — Juventus Clean Sheet

Odds: 2.10 • Confidence: 6/10

Juventus have the best defensive record in Serie A this season (27 goals conceded, 14 clean sheets). Lazio's attack has been inconsistent, scoring just 7 goals in their last 6 matches. The 2.10 price on a clean sheet for the best defence in Italy has value.

Pick 6 — Dusan Vlahovic Anytime Scorer

Odds: 2.15 • Confidence: 6/10

Vlahovic has 16 Serie A goals this season and has scored in 3 of his last 4 away matches. His physical presence and finishing ability make him the most likely goalscorer in a match expected to have limited chances.

🧮 Free Betting Calculators

Calculate your edge before placing bets:

Implied Probability Odds Converter Dutching Calculator Kelly Criterion Overround Calculator Staking Plan
⚠️ Bankroll Management: Even strong favorites lose. We recommend staking no more than 3% of your bankroll on any single bet. For high-confidence picks (8-10/10), staking 2-3% is appropriate. For medium-confidence (6-7/10), stick to 1-2%. Always use a consistent staking plan.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Juventus?

Juventus are slight favorites at 2.30-2.45 odds for the away win. Lazio are at 2.90-3.10, with the draw at 3.10-3.30. This is typically a tight, competitive fixture where margins are small.

What is the best bet for Lazio vs Juventus?

Our top pick is Under 2.5 Goals at odds of 1.70. This fixture has produced Under 2.5 in 5 of the last 6 meetings, with an average of just 1.8 combined goals. Both teams' tactical discipline in big matches makes this one of the most reliable Under markets in Italian football.

What was the score in the last Lazio vs Juventus match?

Juventus won the reverse fixture 1-0 at the Allianz Stadium. The last meeting at the Stadio Olimpico ended 0-0. Five of the last six meetings have produced fewer than 3 goals combined.

Is Under 2.5 goals a good bet for this match?

Yes. Under 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of the last 6 meetings between Lazio and Juventus. Both teams typically approach this fixture with tactical discipline, minimizing risks. The average combined goals in recent meetings is just 1.8.

What are the Champions League qualification implications?

Both Lazio (6th, 58 pts) and Juventus (4th, 62 pts) are in a tight battle for Champions League places. A win for Lazio would close the gap to 1 point, while a Juventus victory would virtually secure a top-4 finish. This adds extra intensity and tactical caution to the match.