Arsenal host Newcastle at the Emirates in a crucial Premier League Matchday 35 clash. The Gunners are fighting to maintain their position at the top of the table and have been formidable at home, winning 12 of 16 league matches at the Emirates this season.

Newcastle arrive with mixed away form — impressive wins against mid-table sides but struggles against top-6 teams on the road. Their defensive record away from St. James' Park has deteriorated in recent weeks, conceding in 7 of their last 9 away games.

Arsenal's attack, led by Saka and Havertz, has been prolific at home with an average of 2.1 goals per game. However, their matches tend to be controlled rather than high-scoring — only 3 of their 16 home games have gone over 3.5 goals.

Key team news: Arsenal are expected to have a fully fit squad save for long-term absentees. Newcastle may be without their first-choice right-back, which could expose them down Arsenal's left flank where Saka operates.

In the last 10 meetings between Arsenal and Newcastle across all competitions, Arsenal have won 7, drawn 2, and Newcastle have won just 1. At the Emirates, Arsenal have won 5 of the last 6 meetings, with an aggregate score of 14-3. Newcastle's last away win against Arsenal came in 2021. The most common scoreline in recent meetings has been 2-0 or 2-1 to Arsenal.

Both Teams to Score — No @ 1.80: Arsenal have kept 8 clean sheets at home and Newcastle have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 away games vs top-6 teams.

Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.10: 6 of Arsenal's last 8 home games have gone under 2.5. This is a higher price than it should be given the data.

Saka Anytime Goalscorer @ 2.20: Saka has scored in 8 of his last 12 home league games. At odds above 2.0, this represents value.

Want more expert tips?

Get 2-3 daily verified picks, odds comparisons, and bankroll advice — all free.